Saturday, February 10, 2007

backgammon

Backgammon isn't the most popular game, so I don't know if any of you know it at all. But I just had an amazing rolling streak. In a 5-game match, I was up 4-0, but my opponent took one to make it 4-1. In what would be the last game, he immediately came out with a double request, which I accepted. By the 7th roll of the game, he had made points on his 2, 5, and 6 slots, and on his 8th, he hit a blot of mine to knock me onto the bar. Most of the rest of his checkers were in my territory, so I wasn't too worried. Until the following ensued.
9) 66:42: 13/9* 13/11
10) 55:21: 11/9 9/8
11) 66:21: 24/23 23/21
12) 22:23: 7/4 6/4
13) 52:43: 16/13 13/9
14) 22:55: 9/4 16/11 11/6 21/16
15) 62:32: 9/7 24/21
16) 22:42: 16/14 14/10
17) 56:52: 10/5 4/2
18) 62:16: 21/15 8/7
19) 65:

Translation? If I roll a 1, 3, or 4, I'm off the bar. If I roll a 2, 5, or 6, I'm stuck. The math is simple on this one - it's a coin flip. 50% chance per die, per roll. I rolled 22 dice. My odds of not hitting a 1, 3, or 4 on 22 die rolls are 1 in 4,194,304, or 0.00002384185791015625% That's right - 2 hundreths of a percent chance.

At this point he made another point, and quickly closed me out and I got gammoned and lost 5-4.

As far as opening rolls, it's evened up a little. The current stats are:
PlayerOpeners Won%
me13736.92722372
him17847.97843666
tie5615.09433962

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